InicioJrz SportsCruz Azul would have an abysmal advantage over Chivas, Pumas and Pachuca

Cruz Azul would have an abysmal advantage over Chivas, Pumas and Pachuca


Blue Cross is about to compete before the Chivas de Guadalajara the semifinals of the 2026 Clausura Tournament, a contest in which he longs to win the tenth star in its history. And it does so backed by numbers. In the middle of the decisive stretch of the Liga MXa publication by Statiskicks revealed the statistical probabilities of the four semi-finalists to win, and exposed a striking difference between The Machine and the rest of the title contenders.

According to the renowned site specialized in sports statistics, the cement team has a 58.78% chance of being crowned championa figure much higher than that of its direct competitors in the League. Behind they appear Cougars, Pachuca and Chivas with considerably lower percentages.

Cruz Azul largely dominates the champion odds

The numbers shared by Statiskicks make clear the difference that currently exists between Blue Cross and the rest of the semi-finalists:

  • Blue Cross: 58.78%
  • Cougars: 18.07%
  • Pachuca: 15.52%
  • Chivas: 7.63%
Statiskicks gives Cruz Azul many more chances to win the Liga MX than the rest.

Statiskicks gives Cruz Azul many more chances to win the Liga MX than the rest.

The distance draws special attention because The Machine practically triples the odds of the second favorite and surpasses by a huge margin Chivaswho was the deputy leader of the regular season showing a convincing game.

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For its part, Cougars and Pachuca They appear one step higher in the projections (pushed because one of them will be a finalist?), although still far from Cruz Azul’s statistical dominance.

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In addition to the collective performance, the statistical analysis seems to value several factors that have marked the cement semester:

  • The best consistency of the tournament
  • A solid defense
  • Ability to win at home and away
  • Greater squad depth
  • Regularity in decisive instances

Beyond the probabilities, it is known that Soccer and Liga MX allow anything to happen. Cruz Azul has the hope intact and has arguments to do so, although there are four teams left that will give their all to go for that desired title. Everything remains to be seen…





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